THE WORLD OF DR. BAYESA WORK IN PROBABILITY · EST. 2026
EPISODE 010 · THE POSTERIOR

The Frequentist

Professor Fisher arrives at The Posterior. The bartender introduces Professor Fisher, who distrusts priors. Dr. Bayes asks what he believes before the evidence arrives.

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THE COMICTap any panel to open it at full size
Episode 010 of the Dr. Bayes comic, “The Frequentist”: The bartender introduces Professor Fisher, who distrusts priors. Dr. Bayes asks what he believes before the evidence arrives. The full dialogue is in the transcript below.
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A NOTE FOR CURIOUS MINDS

Behind the joke.

Frequentist methods avoid formal prior distributions and judge a procedure by how it behaves over many repeated samples. Bayesian methods state prior beliefs openly and update them with data. Dr. Bayes's jab is that nobody starts empty-handed: choosing a model, a test and a standard of proof are assumptions too. Declaring that you believe nothing is itself a position.

SPEECH BUBBLES, IN WORDS

The transcript.

For readers who prefer dialogue without zooming in.

Read the dialogue ↘

Bartender: Dr. Bayes, meet Professor Fisher.

Dr. Bayes: Extraordinary.

Professor Fisher: I don't trust priors.

Dr. Bayes: That sounds like one.

Dr. Bayes: And what do you believe before the evidence arrives?

Professor Fisher: I trust only what repeated evidence can prove.

Professor Fisher: Nothing.

Dr. Bayes: That's still a prior. Just a smug one.