EPISODE 001 · THE POSTERIOR
The Free Drink
An introduction to changing your mind. The bartender offers Dr. Bayes another whiskey. New information changes everything.
THE COMICTap any panel to open it at full size
A NOTE FOR CURIOUS MINDS
Behind the joke.
A prior is your starting belief. New evidence can change it. In the comic, an ordinary whiskey offer becomes considerably more appealing when the bartender mentions the price. The scientific lesson is a little more demanding: weigh new evidence according to how informative it really is.
SPEECH BUBBLES, IN WORDS
The transcript.
For readers who prefer dialogue without zooming in.
Read the dialogue ↘
Bartender: Another whiskey?
Dr. Bayes: My prior says no.
Bartender: It's on the house.
Dr. Bayes: I've updated my beliefs.